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The German foreign intelligence agency (Bundesnachrichtendienst, BND) has drastically revised its assessment of the situation in Syria, reveals Spiegel Online [1]
While, on the strength of reports by high-ranking military deserters, they had heretofore predicted the rapid enfeeblement of Bashar al-Assad, today they announced his victory before the end of the year.
The BND believes that the Syrian Arab Army has succeeded in securing its supply lines and in cutting those of the "insurgents" (largely foreign jihadists, backed by NATO and the GCC). The retrieval of al-Qusayir presages that of the entire district of Homs and the collapse of the partition plans, with the possible exception of a Kurdish area.
[1] "Bürgerkrieg in Syrien : BND prognostiziert Vormarsch der Assad-Armee," by Matthias Gebauer, Spiegel Online, 22 May 2013.
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